Raymond Richman - Jesse Richman - Howard Richman
Richmans' Trade and Taxes Blog
Schwarzenegger's Sea Level Prediction, One Year Later
On December 2, 2009, Governor Schwarzenegger unveiled a map showing the effect upon the California coast of sea level rising by 1.5 meters over the next century due to increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. The press reported the unveiling, showing no skepticism whatsoever.
How is his prediction doing? The red line is accurate satellite data through September reported by the University of Colorado; the black line is Schwarzenegger's dramatic prediction:
It is true that sea levels have been rising. In fact, they have been rising for the last 15,000 years due to the melting of the glaciers from the last ice age. But the scare predictions of rapid sea level rise are clearly not supported by the actual data. Some of the world's best physicists have figured out that climate change is mainly due to extra-terrestrial forces, such as solar activity and cosmic rays, not carbon dioxide.
Meanwhile, based upon dramatic predictions like Schwarzenegger’s prediction, the Obama administration is going full steam ahead with its plans to reduce America's carbon dioxide emissions. On January 2, President Obama's Environmental Protection Agency will start requiring that American industries use the "best available control technologies" to reduce carbon dioxide emissions under the Clean Air Act. This action will:
Perhaps Congress could amend the Clean Air Act to specify that carbon dioxide is not a pollutant. After all, the Clean Air Act was meant to regulate substances that are harmful to life, not carbon dioxide which is vital to life.
Comment by Doug Brockman, 12/28/2010:
It's interesting how bits and pieces of islands and coastline here and there are shown horribly drowning in seawater when an ancillary to this problem is that all seacoasts are either rising or dropping due to local tectonic effects and none stay stationary indefinitely.
Journal of Economic Literature:
Atlantic Economic Journal: