Raymond Richman - Jesse Richman - Howard Richman
Richmans' Trade and Taxes Blog
The role of non-citizens in U.S. Elections
I have a piece with David Earnest up on the Washington Post website this evening which reports on the results of research into the role of non-citizens in U.S. elections. Although it is illegal for non-citizens to vote in U.S. elections, some do. We report on an analysis of survey data that allows us to estimate the scale of this participation, and to identify election outcomes that were likely altered by the presence of non-citizen votes.
The piece appears on the Monkey Cage, a Washington Post blog which reports on Political Science research.
Could control of the Senate in 2014 be decided by illegal votes cast by non-citizens? Some argue that incidents of voting by non-citizens are so rare as to be inconsequential, with efforts to block fraud a screen for an agenda to prevent poor and minority voters from exercising the franchise, while others define such incidents as a threat to democracy itself. Both sides depend more heavily on anecdotes than data.
In a forthcoming article in the journal Electoral Studies, we bring real data from big social science survey datasets to bear on the question of whether, to what extent, and for whom non-citizens vote in U.S. elections. Most non-citizens do not register, let alone vote. But enough do that their participation can change the outcome of close races.
I encourage you to take a look at the entire piece.
Comment by Chuck, 10/29/2014:
Jeff Bezos as certainly upholding the low tradition of the Washington Post.
Journal of Economic Literature:
Atlantic Economic Journal: